This is another big tipping point on the slide out of the Great Global Scam. IPCC scientists â€” facing the travesty of predictions-gone-wrong â€” are trying to salvage some face, and plant some escape-clause seeds for later. But people are not stupid.
A conveniently leaked IPCC draft is testing the ground. What excuses can they get away with? Hidden underneath some pat lines about how anthropogenic global warming is â€œlikelyâ€ to influenceâ€¦ ah cold days and warm days, is the get-out-of-jail clause thatâ€™s really a bombshell:
â€œUncertainty in the sign of projected changes in climate extremes over the coming two to three decades is relatively large because climate change signals are expected to be relatively small compared to natural climate variabilityâ€.
Translated: The natural climate forces are stronger than we thought, and we give up, we canâ€™t say whether it will get warmer or colder in the next twenty years.
This multipurpose prediction means that in the future, if itâ€™s colder, theyâ€™re right; if itâ€™s warmer, theyâ€™re right; and they have it covered for more or less storms, floods, droughts, blizzards and frost too.
And then thereâ€™s the perpetual-motion aspect of the threat. Greenhouse gases might not be dominant now (like theyâ€™ve been saying for the last 20 years) but they will be, they tell us. They will be! Look out! The storms are coming, weâ€™re all doomed. (Well we definitely absolutely might be.) Got that?
If the century progresses without restraints on greenhouse gas emissions, their impacts will come to dominate, it forecasts:
* â€œIt is very likely that the length, frequency and/or intensity of warm spells, including heat waves, will continue to increase over most land areasâ€¦
* â€œIt is likely that the frequency of heavy precipitation or the proportion of total rainfall from heavy falls will increase in the 21st Century over many areas of the globeâ€¦
* â€œMean tropical cyclone maximum wind speed is likely to increaseâ€¦
* â€œThere is medium confidence that droughts will intensify in the 21st Century in some seasons and areasâ€¦
* â€œLow-probability high-impact changes associated with the crossing of poorly understood thresholds cannot be excluded, given the transient and complex nature of the climate system.â€
Then look for the segue where the scientists and activist-journalists, quietly shift the goal-posts;
Itâ€™s impossible to read the draft without coming away with the impression that with or without anthropogenic climate change, extreme weather impacts are going to be felt more and more, simply because there are more and more people on planet Earth â€“ particularly in the swelling â€œmegacitiesâ€ of the developing world that overwhelmingly lie on the coast or on big rivers close to the coast.
Thatâ€™s an EXIT clause and it reads like this: We might have been wrong about CO2 causing the disasters, but disasters are still coming. More people are going to die from climate catastrophes because there are lots more people! See, â€œwe were right all along to be concerned about the climateâ€. (Just not quite right about the cause).
This is a handy excuse. Al Gore tried a segue like this out a couple of years ago â€” pretending that he was just fine tuning his altruistic saintly concern by saying quietly that CO2 wasnâ€™t as bad as heâ€™d thought but Black Carbon (!) was awful pollution. In other words, heâ€™ll never admit he made a bad call, or has been caught pushing a scam, heâ€™ll just say he was right all along, â€œcarbon is still the issue, itâ€™s just a slightly different formâ€.
These IPCC scientists are using the same technique: Climate Disasters are still the issue â€” itâ€™s just a slightly different reason.....http://joannenova.com.au/2011/11/ipcc-sc...xit-doors/
Grasping at straws here.